Credit Default Swap
Also known as: CDS
Insurance on a borrower's default — and the market's sharpest real-time gauge of credit fear.
1 · SnapshotThe one idea to remember
2 · BeginnerWhat is it, really?
A credit default swap works like an insurance policy on a loan or bond. The protection buyer pays a regular premium; if the referenced company (or country) suffers a credit event — fails to pay, restructures, goes bankrupt — the protection seller compensates them for the loss on the debt.
Two things make CDS more than insurance. First, you don't need to own the bond — you can buy protection as a pure bet that a borrower is in trouble, or sell protection to earn premium as a bet that it isn't. Second, CDS trade constantly, so their price — the spread, in basis points per year — is a live ticker of how worried the market is about any name.
When a company's CDS spread jumps from 100 to 400, the market just repriced its survival odds — often faster and more brutally than its bonds or stock.
a paymentonly if a condition is metnot a payment
Neither party has to hold the debt, and the company being insured is not a party to the contract and need never know it exists.
Every quarter, while nothing happens
- Protection buyer → Protection seller Traded at a fixed coupon with an upfront payment squaring the difference against the market spread, so that contracts on the same name are fungible.
If a credit event occurs
- Reference entity → Protection buyer Bankruptcy, failure to pay, or in some regions a restructuring. A committee rules on it, and its decision binds every contract on that name.
- Protection seller → Protection buyer An auction of the defaulted debt sets one recovery price, and every contract cash settles at it on the same day.
one auction price settles every contract on that name
What is not insured
- Reference entity → Protection seller The reference entity is a name in a document. This is why the amount of protection outstanding can exceed the debt it references.
- Asset class
- Credit derivatives
- Instrument type
- Default protection swap
- Traded
- OTC, standardised, largely cleared
- Typical users
- Banks, credit funds, insurers
Which risks decide the outcome
Not how risky this is, and not a rating — there is deliberately no total. It says which of five failure modes drives what happens here, in the same order on all 129 products so they can be compared. This publication's own reading; see the notice below.
- Marketmatters
- Creditdecides it
- Liquiditybarely applies
- Fundingmatters
- Operationaldecides it
What decides it here. Credit decides the payoff and documents decide whether it is paid: the wrong reference obligation, a successor after a merger, or a restructuring that counts in one region and not another.
3 · IntermediateHow it works in practice
Standardised mechanics (post-2009 "Big Bang")
- Fixed coupons: contracts pay standardised running coupons (100bp investment grade / 500bp high yield); the difference from the true spread is settled upfront.
- Credit events: bankruptcy, failure to pay, restructuring (region-dependent) — determined by an ISDA Determinations Committee, not by lawsuits.
- Settlement: an auction sets the defaulted debt's recovery price; protection pays (100 − recovery)%.
- Maturity: 5-year is the liquid point; standard roll dates (Mar/Sep 20).
Uses
- Hedging: a bank hedges loan concentrations it cannot sell.
- Shorting credit: buying protection is the practical way to short a bond (borrowing bonds is hard).
- Basis trading: bond spread vs. CDS spread on the same name — the CDS-bond basis converges, mostly.
- Curve trades: 1y vs 5y protection expresses when trouble hits, not just whether.
4 · AdvancedPricing & valuation
Pricing: hazard-rate framework
Model default as the first jump of an intensity process \(\lambda_t\); survival \(Q(t) = e^{-\int_0^t \lambda_s ds}\). The par spread equates the premium and protection legs:
What the symbols mean
- deltaa small change in whatever follows
- Pa price, or a present value
- ta point in time
- Ra return
- Tmaturity, in years
yielding the credit triangle \(s \approx \lambda (1-R)\) for flat hazards. Quoting runs through the ISDA Standard Model: flat hazard bootstrapped per tenor with fixed recovery assumption (40% senior), converting spreads ↔ upfronts consistently across the street.
Marking a seasoned position
Value = (current spread − contract coupon) × risky annuity (RPV01, the survival-weighted premium PV). Risk metrics: CS01 (P&L per bp of spread), JTD (jump-to-default: (1−R)·N minus mark), and recovery-rate sensitivity — the three axes of a credit book.
Basis and wrong-way subtleties
The CDS-bond basis reflects funding (bonds need balance sheet; CDS doesn't), the cheapest-to-deliver option in the auction, restructuring-clause differences and repo. Persistent negative basis (bonds cheap vs. CDS) rewards buy-bond-buy-protection packages — until funding stress, as in 2008, blows the convergence trade up. Counterparty wrong-way risk (buying bank protection from a correlated bank) drove the move to central clearing.
Sovereign CDS
Reference sovereign debt with restructuring-heavy event definitions; quanto effects matter (EUR-denominated protection on Italy pays in a currency whose value co-moves with the event) — priced via jump-at-default FX models.
The formulas above are standard textbook formulations, simplified for teaching. They explain the mechanism — they are not a valuation tool, and they will not reproduce a dealer’s price.
5 · Desk notesHow practitioners think about it
Now say it back
Close the page and give Credit Default Swap in four sentences. It takes a minute and it is the only way to find out whether reading it was enough.
- Who wants what — two parties wanted opposite things badly enough to write it down.
- What the contract obliges, and when — not the payoff; the obligation.
- Where the money comes from — name the source, or you have described a hope.
- What makes it lose — the ordinary way, not the dramatic one.
Put Credit Default Swap beside any other instrument →
Where this instrument shows up elsewhere
- EasyExplain It Out LoudPrepA four-sentence template that fits every instrument on this site, twelve products written out in it, and a drill for…
- EasyThe Words of Your First WeekPrepThe vocabulary a trading floor uses without explaining it, grouped by the situation you will first hear each word in…
- EasyWhich Role Needs Which Part of This SitePrepTwelve jobs that have to understand financial products without necessarily trading them, what each one actually…
- EasyWind-downDealThe business stops and the assets are sold for whatever they fetch
- MediumCredit Default Swaps vs. InsuranceCompareBoth pay out when something goes wrong
- MediumDistressed exchangeDealBondholders are offered less than they are owed, and the alternative is not repayment
- MediumInsurance UnderwritingIndustryPricing a risk somebody else does not want to carry, and finding out years later whether the price was right
- MediumThe Product Round of a Markets InterviewPrepFive kinds of product question, what a complete answer to each one contains, and the five ordinary ways a…