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Wind-down

Also known as: Liquidation, Administration, Insolvency

The business stops and the assets are sold for whatever they fetch. It is the alternative every restructuring is measured against.

5 min read · 849 words

1 · SnapshotThe one idea to remember
Key idea: this page matters even if you never read another word about insolvency, because every restructuring is measured against it. When a court asks whether creditors are better off under a plan, this is the thing they are better off than.
2 · BeginnerWhat actually happens?

Sometimes there is nothing to save. The business does not make money, no plan makes it make money, and no amount of adjusting the debt changes that. What is left is to stop, sell whatever can be sold, and share out the proceeds.

Control passes from the directors to an insolvency practitioner, whose job is to get as much as possible for the creditors as a whole rather than for any one of them.

The money is then paid out in a strict order fixed by law. The costs of the process first. Then certain protected claims, usually including employees. Then creditors who hold security, out of whatever they hold security over. Then everybody else. Then, if anything is left, the shareholders.

It almost never gets that far. Assets sold under pressure fetch a fraction of what they were worth in a working business, and the money usually runs out somewhere among the ordinary creditors — the suppliers, the customers with deposits, the bondholders without security.

1days–wks21 day36–24 mths43–12 mths5wksDecision to stopFinal distribution
The business stops and the assets are sold for whatever they fetch. It is the alternative every restructuring is measured against, which is why understanding it explains all the others.

    When to stop trading — The directors decides. Continuing to trade when there is no reasonable prospect of avoiding insolvency carries personal liability in many jurisdictions.

  1. 1

    Decisiondays–wks

    Directors conclude there is no reasonable prospect of continuing, a judgement with personal consequences if made too late.

  2. 2

    Appointment1 day

    An insolvency practitioner takes control of the company from its directors.

  3. 3

    Realisation6–24 mths

    Assets are sold, contracts are terminated and claims are pursued, usually for far less than book value.

  4. 4

    Adjudicating claims3–12 mths

    Every creditor's claim is examined and admitted or rejected.

  5. The priority waterfall — Statute decides. Costs, then preferential claims, then secured, then unsecured, then shareholders — and it is a rare liquidation that reaches the last two.

  6. 5

    Distributionwks

    What is left is paid out strictly in order of priority, and it usually stops long before the unsecured creditors.

Who is on the deal

WhoSideWhat they are actually for
The insolvency practitionerNeitherTakes control from the directors and owes duties to creditors as a whole.
Secured creditorsBuy sideAre paid from their collateral first, and frequently that is where the money stops.
Preferential creditorsBuy sideEmployees and certain tax claims, which statute puts ahead of ordinary creditors.
Unsecured creditorsSell sideSuppliers, customers and bondholders without security, who usually receive very little.
The directorsNeitherFace questions about when they should have stopped trading, which carries personal liability in many jurisdictions.
Desk
Restructuring
Who takes control
An insolvency practitioner, from the directors
Assets realise
Usually far less than book value
Distribution
Strictly in statutory order
Unsecured creditors
Rarely receive much, and often nothing

What decides whether it completes

Not how hard this is, and not a rating — there is deliberately no total. It says which of five blockers decides whether this transaction happens at all, in the same order on all 70 transaction types so they can be compared. This publication's own reading; see the notice below.

  • Pricedecides it
  • Financingmatters
  • Approvalmatters
  • Diligencebarely applies
  • Executiondecides it

What decides it here. Nothing is being negotiated: assets are sold for whatever they fetch and the proceeds are distributed in statutory order. What decides the outcome is how much value has already leaked away during the months before anybody accepted that this was where it was going.

What the five mean, and which one decides where →

3 · IntermediateHow it runs in practice

Why the numbers collapse

  • A going concern is worth more than its parts. Customer relationships, trained staff, contracts and reputation have value together and almost none separately.
  • Everybody knows you have to sell. A forced seller in a known timeframe does not get a good price.
  • Specialised assets have few buyers, and the ones who exist know it.
  • The process costs money, and it comes off the top before anybody is paid.

The order of payment

The precise order differs by jurisdiction and the shape is common: costs of the process, then preferential claims such as employee wages and certain taxes, then creditors with fixed security out of their collateral, then creditors with floating security, then unsecured creditors, then shareholders.

Each level is paid in full before the next receives anything. That is why where a creditor sits matters more than how much it is owed — the single most important idea on this desk, and this is where it is at its most visible.

Selling the business rather than the assets

A practitioner will usually try to sell the business as a going concern first, sometimes very quickly and sometimes to a buyer arranged before the appointment. That produces more for creditors than a piecemeal sale, and where the buyer is connected to the previous owners it attracts serious criticism — which is why such sales carry disclosure requirements.

When directors must stop

Continuing to trade when there is no reasonable prospect of avoiding insolvency carries personal liability for directors in many jurisdictions. That rule shapes behaviour enormously: it is the reason boards take formal advice early, and the reason some companies file when their management would rather keep trying.

4 · AdvancedThe numbers & the documents

The relevant alternative, which is why this page exists

In a restructuring plan, the court asks whether any creditor is worse off than in the relevant alternative. In a court-supervised reorganisation, a plan must satisfy a best-interests test against liquidation. In an out-of-court negotiation, every party is implicitly comparing the offer to what it would get if the talks failed.

All three are the same question, and the answer is a liquidation analysis. Understanding how little assets realise in a wind-down is therefore not a specialist interest — it is what makes every other transaction on this desk intelligible.

Why recovery estimates are so wide

A liquidation analysis requires estimating what unspecific assets will fetch from unknown buyers under time pressure, net of costs nobody can size in advance. Two honest experts can differ by a factor of two. And since that number sets the floor for every negotiation, the gap between their estimates is the space in which the whole restructuring is argued.

Where value went before anybody accepted this

The largest determinant of what creditors receive is rarely the sale process. It is how much value leaked away during the months when the company was still hoping — customers who left, staff who resigned, suppliers who tightened terms, and management attention consumed by the crisis. By the time a practitioner is appointed, most of the destruction has already happened.

That is the strongest argument for acting early, and it is the hardest advice for a board to accept.

What it means on the other half of the site

Recovery is what the credit market prices every day. A bond trading at forty is a market estimate of what this process would produce; a credit default swap settles on exactly it. See credit, where the number this desk determines is quoted continuously by people who hope never to find out whether it was right.

The formulas above are standard textbook formulations, simplified for teaching. They explain the mechanism — they are not a valuation tool, and they will not reproduce a dealer’s price.

5 · Desk notesHow people on the deal think about it
Desk note: when reading any restructuring proposal, find the liquidation analysis and check who prepared it. Every claim that the plan is fair rests on that document, and its assumptions were chosen by somebody with a view about the outcome.

Now say it back

Close the page and give Wind-down in four sentences. It takes a minute and it is the only way to find out whether reading it was enough.

  1. Who wants what — name both sides and what each one is actually trying to get.
  2. What has to happen, in order — the three or four stages, not the whole timetable.
  3. Where the money comes from — cash, new shares, or borrowed; somebody has to fund it.
  4. What kills it — the ordinary way, not the dramatic one.

Why these four

Where this transaction shows up elsewhere