Information and education only. Every page, figure and
calculator on this site exists to explain how financial instruments work. Nothing here is
investment, tax or legal advice, a recommendation, or a valuation you can rely on.
Full disclaimer
StrikeAndYield crib sheet · information and education only
Foreign Exchange
The deepest market in the world: exchanging one currency for another, today or at a date in the future.
The shelf — 7 instruments
Plain English 1
| FX Spot | Exchanging one currency for another, settled in two days — the deepest market humanity has built. |
Needs one idea 3
| Dual Currency Deposit | A deposit with a headline rate several times the going one, which the bank may repay in a currency you did not want. |
| FX Forward | Lock an exchange rate for a future date — the corporate world's everyday currency hedge. |
| FX Future | The exchange-traded twin of the FX forward — same economics, public prices, a clearing house instead of a credit line. |
Market knowledge 3
| Cross-Currency Swap | Swap debt from one currency into another for years at a time — principal, interest and all. |
| FX Swap | Borrow one currency against another: the invisible funding machine underneath global finance, and the one nobody sees. |
| Non-Deliverable Forward | A forward for currencies you can't take home — settled in dollars against an official fixing. |
What moves prices here
- Interest-rate differentials — Money moves toward the higher yield until it does not
- Terms of trade — A commodity exporter's currency moves with what it exports
- Central bank intervention and regime — A managed rate is flat until it is not
- Positioning — It is a zero-sum market, so somebody is always the other side
- Cross-border flow — Trade, hedging and portfolio flows all clear here
- The dollar as a global funding currency — In stress everything is a dollar shortage
The calendar
| Daily, on the hour | Fixing windows |
| Monthly | Inflation and labour releases |
| Six to eight times a year | Policy meetings |
| Month end | Rebalancing flows |
| Quarter end | Balance-sheet dates |
Which risk decides, across the shelf
| Failure mode |
Decides | Share |
| Market | 6 of 7 | 86% |
| Credit | 1 of 7 | 14% |
| Liquidity | 0 of 7 | 0% |
| Funding | 1 of 7 | 14% |
| Operational | 3 of 7 | 43% |
Counted from the same table each product page prints. Not a
rating and not a ranking: there is deliberately no total.