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StrikeAndYield crib sheet · information and education only

Commodities

Raw materials as an asset class — energy, metals and agriculture, traded mostly through futures.

The shelf — 10 instruments

Plain English 2

Commodity ETC / ETPCommodities in a brokerage account: physical metal or futures strips, wrapped as listed securities.
Precious Metals SpotGold and silver, bought outright — the oldest financial asset, still trading like a currency without a country.

Needs one idea 3

Carbon AllowancesA commodity invented by law: the right to emit one tonne of CO2, made scarce on purpose and tradable by design.
Commodity FutureStandardised contracts on oil, gold, wheat and power — where the physical world sets its prices.
Power Purchase AgreementA long-dated contract to buy electricity at a fixed price — the instrument that decides whether a wind farm gets built at all.

Market knowledge 5

Commodity OptionOptionality on oil, gold and grain — almost always struck on the future, not the physical.
Commodity SwapFix the price of a flow: months or years of oil, gas or metal, settled in cash against published indices.
Electricity FuturesFutures on the one commodity that cannot be stored — where prices go negative at noon and 100× at dinnertime.
Freight DerivativeA forward on the cost of moving cargo by sea. The most violent price series in commodities, hedged with a contract on an index nobody can deliver.
Weather DerivativeA contract that settles on the temperature, not on any asset. Invented so an energy company could hedge a warm winter — the purest example of a derivative with no underlying you can own.

What moves prices here

  1. Inventory — The level of storage, not the flow of production
  2. The cost and availability of storage — It sets how far into contango the curve can go
  3. Weather and season — Predictable in shape, unpredictable in size
  4. Politics and transport — A route matters as much as a reserve
  5. The dollar — Priced in dollars, so the currency moves the price
  6. The roll, for anyone holding paper — It can dominate the return entirely

The calendar

MonthlyFirst notice and expiry
MonthlyIndex roll windows
WeeklyInventory reports
SeasonalInjection and withdrawal seasons
Harvest and plantingFor anything grown

Which risk decides, across the shelf

Failure mode DecidesShare
Market10 of 10100%
Credit1 of 1010%
Liquidity0 of 100%
Funding1 of 1010%
Operational5 of 1050%

Counted from the same table each product page prints. Not a rating and not a ranking: there is deliberately no total.

It reaches

Information and education only. Every line on this sheet is derived from the pages of this site, which explain mechanisms in general terms using simplified models. Nothing here is advice, a recommendation, or a valuation to rely on. Conventions differ by market and jurisdiction and change over time. Full disclaimer at strikeandyield.com/disclaimer.