FX Derivatives

FX Digital Option

Also known as: Binary option, One-touch, European digital

All or nothing: a fixed payout if the rate ends (or trades) beyond a level. Probability, directly priced.

Asset class
FX derivatives
Instrument type
Binary-payout option
Traded
OTC interbank (retail versions widely banned)
Typical users
Macro funds, exotics desks, structurers
European digital call: nothing below the strike, a fixed cash amount above it.
KDigital callSpot at expiryPayoff
BeginnerWhat is it, really?

A digital (binary) option pays a fixed amount if a condition is met, and nothing otherwise. A European digital call on EUR/USD at 1.15 pays, say, $1M if the rate finishes above 1.15 at expiry — whether it finishes at 1.1501 or 1.30. A one-touch pays if the level trades even once before expiry.

Digitals strip options down to their probabilistic core: the price of a digital paying 1 is roughly the market's probability of the event happening (in the risk-adjusted sense). Pay 0.30 for a digital on "above 1.15"? The market says ~30%.

A warning that must be said plainly: institutional digitals are legitimate building blocks — but "binary options" sold to retail through online platforms became a global scam industry, and are banned for retail sale in the EU, UK and elsewhere. If a website offers you 5-minute binaries, it is not this product; it is a casino, frequently rigged.

Key intuition: a digital converts "how far will it go?" into pure "will it or won't it?" — the market's odds on an event, bottled and tradable.
IntermediateHow it works in practice

The family

  • European digital (cash-or-nothing): pays on the expiry fixing only.
  • One-touch / no-touch: pays if a barrier trades / never trades — the FX exotics market's liquidity benchmark.
  • Double-no-touch (DNT): pays if spot stays inside a range — the classic "quiet market" trade.
  • Range accruals: coupon accrues per day inside a range — digitals in daily instalments.

Where they're used

  • Event trades: elections, referendums, central-bank pivots — clean payouts on scenarios.
  • Structured products: most "if the index is above X you get Y" retail notes embed digitals.
  • Model calibration: one-touch quotes discipline the smile-dynamics models used for all FX exotics.

Replication intuition

A digital is the limit of a tight call spread: buy a call at 1.1495, sell at 1.1505, scale up — the payoff approaches a step. This is exactly how dealers hedge and price them, and why digital prices inherit the volatility skew: the spread straddles the smile.

Worked example: ahead of a central-bank decision, a fund buys a one-week digital paying €5M if EUR/USD ends above 1.12 (spot 1.1150), costing €1.9M — implied odds ~38%. The hawkish surprise lands, spot ends 1.1230: payout €5M, a 2.6x return on a view that "spot up half a percent" would barely have paid via vanillas.
AdvancedPricing & valuation

Pricing and the skew correction

Under Black–Scholes a cash-or-nothing call paying 1 is simply the risk-neutral probability:

$$ D = e^{-r_d T} N(d_2) $$

But differentiating the real (smile-affected) call price by strike gives the model-free value:

$$ D = -\frac{\partial C}{\partial K} = e^{-r_d T}\Big[N(d_2) + \sigma'(K)\, S\sqrt{T}\, \varphi(d_1)\Big] $$

The skew-slope term \(\sigma'(K)\) is first-order: on steep smiles, ignoring it misprices digitals by many percentage points. Digital pricing is thus a direct application of Breeden–Litzenberger — the risk-neutral CDF read off the smile.

Touch products need dynamics

One-touch value depends on the path, hence on how the smile moves with spot — the quantity vanilla prices don't pin down. Local vol and stochastic vol give materially different touch prices from identical vanilla fits; desks calibrate LSV mixing to market one-touch quotes (the "touch ladder"), making touches the empirical anchor of FX smile dynamics. Under BS, the undiscounted one-touch has the closed form combining two digitals via the reflection principle.

Hedging a step function

Near expiry near the strike, digital delta is a spike (formally a Dirac limit): unhedgeable pointwise. Dealers hedge the call-spread over-replication — width chosen by risk appetite — booking the spread cost as the price. The wider the spread, the more conservative the quote; payout-at-barrier conventions and fixing-source disputes are the operational risks.

Practitioner note: quoting a digital = quoting the smile's slope; quoting a one-touch = quoting the smile's dynamics. The two products together tell you almost everything a dealer's model believes about a currency.